Wall Street Strategist John Higgins

CAPITAL ECONOMICS

John Higgins

Chief Markets Economist · Coverage since 2025

AnaChart's record of John Higgins's S&P 500 year-end price targets at Capital Economics covers 3 published targets and revisions across 1 closed forecast years. His final-year hit rate within ±3% of the actual close is 100% — 1 of 1 years. Closest call: 2025, target 7,000 vs. actual 6,846. Largest miss: 2025, target 7,000 vs. actual 6,846.

Higgins is Chief Markets Economist at Capital Economics, an independent macro research firm, and a more recent addition to AnaChart's S&P 500 target tracker. His first tracked forecast set a 2025 year-end target that he raised from 6,500 to 7,000 over the first half of 2024; the index closed 2025 at 6,846, inside 3% of that call. His 2026 target of 8,000 ranks among the most bullish on the Street and reflects Capital Economics' view that an AI-driven valuation expansion still has room to run. With one completed forecast year, his record is short relative to the bank strategists AnaChart tracks.

Current Target
8,000
For 2026 · December 1, 2025

Implied Return
+8.2%
vs. S&P 500 near 7,392

Final-Year Hit Rate
1 / 1
2025 within ±3%

Forecasts Tracked
3
2025–2026

Avg Revision Cycle
~47
weeks between calls

S&P 500 Year-End Targets — Full History

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Gray line: S&P 500 end-of-day closing price. Blue line: John Higgins's published S&P 500 price targets, each plotted at issuance date.

Year-by-Year Forecast Performance

Year Final Target Year-End Actual % Off Result
2026 8,000 Open Open
2025 7,000 6,846 +2.3% Hit

Final-year accuracy uses the last published forecast before each December 31 close. Year-end actuals are S&P 500 closing prices. "Hit" = within ±3% of the actual year-end value. Historical data sourced from publicly reported forecasts and revisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is John Higgins's S&P 500 target for 2026?

Higgins set a year-end 2026 S&P 500 target of 8,000 on December 1, 2025. It is among the most bullish calls on the Street and reflects Capital Economics' view that the AI-driven rise in valuations has further to run.

How accurate are John Higgins's S&P 500 forecasts?

AnaChart has tracked one completed forecast year for Higgins so far. His 2025 target of 7,000 finished within 3% of the actual close of 6,846. A single year is too small a sample to judge accuracy; the record will fill in as his 2026 and later targets close.

Who is John Higgins?

John Higgins is Chief Markets Economist at Capital Economics, an independent macroeconomic research firm. He publishes the firm's S&P 500 year-end target as part of its markets outlook. AnaChart began tracking his forecasts in 2025.

Why does John Higgins expect the S&P 500 to reach 8,000?

Capital Economics has argued that the AI investment cycle is driving a valuation expansion that resembles, but has not yet peaked like, past technology bubbles. Higgins' 8,000 target for 2026 reflects the view that the index can keep rising while that theme runs, rather than a call on long-run fair value.

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